Tag: S&P 500

  • U.S. Stock Market Slides as Tech Shares Retreat and Investors Await Nvidia Earnings

    U.S. Stock Market Slides as Tech Shares Retreat and Investors Await Nvidia Earnings

    U.S. stock markets pulled back on Tuesday as declining technology shares dragged major indexes further away from their recent record highs, while investors closely monitored rising global uncertainties and awaited Nvidia’s highly anticipated earnings report.

    The S&P 500 fell 0.5 percent, marking its third consecutive decline after recently reaching an all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped nearly 400 points, or 0.8 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.6 percent in early trading.

    Technology stocks, which have fueled much of Wall Street’s rally through enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence, showed signs of slowing after months of rapid gains. Analysts have increasingly warned that some tech companies may have become overvalued amid the AI investment boom.

    Investor attention is now focused on Nvidia, the semiconductor giant at the center of the AI surge, which is scheduled to release its latest quarterly earnings on Wednesday. Nvidia has consistently exceeded Wall Street expectations in recent quarters and delivered strong growth forecasts that helped drive broader market optimism. Shares of Nvidia dipped 0.7 percent ahead of the report.

    Global markets also showed mixed performance. South Korea’s Kospi index plunged 3.3 percent as tech stocks weakened across Asia, while Germany’s DAX index gained one percent, making it one of the strongest-performing markets of the day.

    Market uncertainty continues to be fueled by geopolitical tensions and rising bond yields. Investors remain concerned about the ongoing Iran conflict and the potential disruption of oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical energy trade routes.

    In the bond market, Treasury yields climbed again, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 4.66 percent from 4.61 percent a day earlier. Yields have risen sharply since the Iran conflict began, adding pressure to global borrowing costs and financial markets.

    Oil prices, meanwhile, eased slightly after weeks of volatile swings. Brent crude fell 0.7 percent to $111.39 per barrel, although prices remain significantly elevated compared to pre-conflict levels around $70 per barrel.

    Higher energy costs are also affecting consumers across the United States. According to AAA, the average price of gasoline rose to $4.53 per gallon, approximately 43 percent higher than the same period last year.

    Among notable corporate movers, Akamai Technologies fell 3.9 percent after announcing plans to raise $2.6 billion through a convertible note offering. Home Depot shares also declined 2.2 percent despite posting quarterly earnings that slightly beat analyst forecasts. The retailer cited continued consumer uncertainty and ongoing housing affordability challenges impacting demand.

    Despite the recent market pullback, many major U.S. corporations have continued reporting stronger-than-expected profits, supported by resilient consumer spending even amid inflationary pressures and rising fuel costs.

  • Wells Fargo Issues Boldest 2025 Stock Market Forecast on Wall Street

    Wells Fargo Issues Boldest 2025 Stock Market Forecast on Wall Street

    Wells Fargo Issues Boldest 2025 Stock Market Forecast on Wall Street

    Wells Fargo has set a new benchmark for 2025 stock market predictions, issuing the most optimistic outlook yet among Wall Street strategists. Christopher Harvey, Wells Fargo’s equity strategist, and his team have projected a year-end target of 7,007 for the S&P 500 (^GSPC) in 2025. This bullish forecast represents a potential 26% increase from current levels and slightly surpasses similar targets from Deutsche Bank and Yardeni Research, both of which have pegged the S&P 500 at 7,000 for 2025.

    Factors Driving the Optimism

    In his 2025 equity outlook, Harvey cited several factors contributing to this forecast, including an increasingly favorable macroeconomic environment under the Trump administration and gradual interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve. “In short, a backdrop where equities continue to rally,” Harvey wrote.

    Key drivers for this optimism include:

    Expanding Corporate Margins: Harvey anticipates continued growth in corporate profitability.

    Above-Consensus Economic Growth: The US economy is expected to grow faster than the current consensus estimate of 2.1%.

    Increased M&A Activity: A late-2025 boost from mergers and acquisitions could further elevate market performance.

    Cyclical Stocks Poised to Benefit

    Harvey’s outlook aligns with similar projections from Bank of America, emphasizing opportunities in cyclical sectors. He predicts that upward GDP revisions and a favorable regulatory environment will act as catalysts for these sectors.

    Harvey also expects the S&P 500 Equal-Weighted Index (^SPXEW) to perform strongly in 2025. Unlike the traditional cap-weighted index, the equal-weighted version is less influenced by the performance of the largest tech stocks. This reflects a broader market rally that extends beyond the dominance of the “Magnificent Seven” tech giants to include the remaining 493 companies in the index.

    A Broader Market Rally in 2025

    Wall Street’s growing consensus suggests that the stock market rally, currently concentrated in a handful of large-cap tech stocks, will broaden in 2025. Harvey’s analysis underscores this shift, offering a roadmap for investors seeking opportunities beyond the tech sector.

    With Wells Fargo’s bullish forecast setting the pace, 2025 is shaping up to be a pivotal year for equity markets. Investors will be watching closely as macroeconomic trends, regulatory shifts, and sector dynamics unfold in the months ahead.

    Source : Swifteradio.com

  • Stock Market Update: S&P 500, Nasdaq Dip as Inflation Progress Falters

    Stock Market Update: S&P 500, Nasdaq Dip as Inflation Progress Falters

    US stock markets faced a setback on Wednesday, with key indices retreating after fresh data suggested inflation remains stubbornly high, challenging the Federal Reserve’s efforts to hit its 2% target.

    The S&P 500 (^GSPC) dropped 0.4%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) slid 0.3%. The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC), led by losses in tech stocks, declined by 0.6%. This follows Tuesday’s record highs, dampening investor sentiment ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday, when markets will close Thursday and have shortened trading hours on Friday.

    Inflation Data Raises Concerns

    The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, showed modest growth in October. Core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.3% month-over-month, aligning with Wall Street expectations. Annually, core prices increased by 2.8%, slightly above September’s 2.7%.

    This flat progress in inflation control has raised questions about the Fed’s next move. Current market forecasts, based on the CME FedWatch Tool, indicate a 34% probability that the Fed will hold interest rates steady at its upcoming meeting—a notable increase from 24% a month earlier.

    Broader Economic Indicators

    Additional economic reports released Wednesday painted a mixed picture. The second estimate for third-quarter GDP remained unchanged, showing a 2.8% annualized growth rate. Meanwhile, the labor market showed resilience, with weekly jobless claims dropping to 213,000 from the prior week’s 215,000—indicating continued strength in employment.

    Corporate and Trade Developments

    In corporate news, Dell Technologies (DELL) shares plunged over 12% after quarterly revenue missed expectations, reflecting weak PC demand. Similarly, HP (HPQ) suffered an 11% loss post-earnings, compounding concerns in the tech hardware sector.

    On the trade front, President-elect Donald Trump appointed Jamieson Greer as the new US Trade Representative. Greer, a key figure in Trump’s first-term China tariff policies, has sparked speculation about the administration’s approach to future trade agreements and tariffs on top US trading partners.

    Outlook

    As markets enter a holiday-shortened week, investors are cautiously navigating a mix of economic signals and corporate challenges. Persistent inflation and trade policy uncertainties remain key themes that could shape market direction in the coming weeks.

    For updates on the stock market and economic trends, stay tuned to our blog.

    Source : Swifteradio.com

  • Stock Market Update: Dow and S&P 500 Climb as Nvidia Earnings Shine; Alphabet Stumbles Amid DOJ Move

    Stock Market Update: Dow and S&P 500 Climb as Nvidia Earnings Shine; Alphabet Stumbles Amid DOJ Move

    US stocks experienced mixed movements on Thursday as investors responded to Nvidia’s robust earnings and Alphabet’s significant decline due to a Department of Justice (DOJ) push to dismantle its operations. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) led the gains, adding over 450 points (1.1%), while the S&P 500 rose 0.5%. The Nasdaq Composite finished just above flat after paring earlier losses.

    Sector Shifts and Nvidia’s Spotlight
    Investors shifted their focus from Big Tech to Utilities (XLU), Industrials (XLI), and Financials (XLF), signaling a rotation in market sentiment. Nvidia emerged as a key driver of the day’s movements. The chipmaker reported impressive earnings, surpassing profit expectations. However, it also projected its slowest revenue growth in seven quarters due to supply chain constraints.

    Nvidia revealed that delivery of its flagship Blackwell chip would be delayed, leading to limited supply until 2026. Analysts interpreted this as a temporary setback, noting that demand would likely surge once supply issues are resolved, especially given Nvidia’s dominance in AI chipmaking. Despite the positive long-term outlook, Nvidia’s shares edged up by less than 1% on Thursday.

    Alphabet’s Setback
    Alphabet faced a steep decline after the DOJ requested a court order forcing Google to divest its Chrome browser. This move is part of ongoing antitrust scrutiny aimed at curbing Google’s market dominance. The news sent Alphabet’s shares tumbling, marking one of the day’s most significant tech losses.

    Macroeconomic Developments
    Economic data also played a role in Thursday’s market dynamics. Weekly jobless claims fell to 213,000, down from the prior week, signaling a robust labor market. Meanwhile, traders are adjusting their expectations for the Federal Reserve’s December meeting. According to the CME FedWatch tool, there’s now a 44% chance the Fed will hold interest rates steady, up from 28% just a week ago.

    Bitcoin Nears Milestone
    Bitcoin briefly surged to a record high of nearly $99,000, inching closer to the landmark $100,000 level. The rally follows news that SEC Chair Gary Gensler will step down in January 2025, fueling optimism among crypto advocates. They hope for a regulatory shift under a more crypto-friendly successor.

    Looking Ahead
    The stock market continues to navigate earnings reports, regulatory developments, and economic indicators, with investor sentiment swaying between optimism and caution. Nvidia’s long-term growth potential and Alphabet’s regulatory hurdles will remain in focus as markets head into the final weeks of 2024.

    Source :Swifteradio.com

  • Michael Wilson Turns Bullish: Morgan Stanley Strategist Sets Ambitious Target for US Stocks in 2025

    Michael Wilson Turns Bullish: Morgan Stanley Strategist Sets Ambitious Target for US Stocks in 2025

    Michael Wilson, a prominent strategist at Morgan Stanley and long-time Wall Street bear, has surprised markets by adopting a bullish stance on US equities for 2025. Known for his cautious outlook in recent years, Wilson now predicts the S&P 500 will rise to 6,500 by the end of next year—an 11% increase from its current levels. This shift comes as Wilson anticipates stronger economic growth and continued interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.

    In a recent note to clients, Wilson explained that while US stock valuations remain elevated, several factors could sustain this momentum. He highlighted improving macroeconomic conditions in the US, the potential impact of future tariff policies on global growth, and heightened investor optimism, or “animal spirits,” broadening the rally. Deregulatory policies under former President Donald Trump, if reinstated, could further benefit US corporations, though the implications of other policy changes remain uncertain.

    From Bear to Bull: Wilson’s Shift in Perspective

    Wilson gained recognition for accurately forecasting the 2022 market selloff and maintained a bearish stance throughout 2023, even as markets rebounded. However, he adjusted his outlook earlier this year, setting a year-end 2024 target of 6,100 for the S&P 500. His current projection marks a significant upward revision, underscoring his confidence in the market’s resilience.

    US equities have already seen substantial gains, climbing over 50% since early 2023. This surge has been fueled by advancements in artificial intelligence, a surprisingly robust economy, and interest rate reductions by the Fed. Wilson anticipates these trends will continue to drive earnings growth across sectors in 2024 and beyond.

    Navigating Policy Uncertainty and Market Risks

    While Wilson’s outlook is optimistic, he urges investors to remain flexible in their strategies. He notes that policy uncertainty—ranging from immigration and trade to deregulation and government spending—could influence market dynamics. The upcoming presidential election adds another layer of unpredictability, prompting Morgan Stanley to maintain a wider range of potential outcomes for the S&P 500.

    In a best-case scenario, the index could climb to 7,400, representing a 26% increase. Conversely, a worst-case projection sees the S&P 500 falling 22% to 4,600. Wilson also expects US markets to outperform international peers, particularly in Europe, where Morgan Stanley has downgraded its outlook to neutral. The MSCI Europe index, he notes, may face stagnation until there is greater clarity on US trade tariffs and related policies.

    The Road Ahead for Investors

    As 2025 approaches, Wilson’s unexpected optimism signals a potential turning point for US equities. While risks remain, his forecast emphasizes the importance of adapting investment strategies to capitalize on evolving market trends. With the Fed’s monetary policy and election outcomes likely to shape the trajectory, investors will need to stay agile to navigate the opportunities and challenges ahead.
    Source : Swifteradio.com

  • Stocks and Dollar Climb as Markets Eye Inflation Data and Powell Speech

    Stocks and Dollar Climb as Markets Eye Inflation Data and Powell Speech

    U.S. equity futures made modest gains, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 each edging up around 0.1%, as investors await critical inflation data and remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, which could shape expectations for a potential interest rate cut in December. Treasury yields dipped slightly after recent consumer inflation figures kept hopes alive for a rate reduction next month, though the dollar index held firm near two-year highs, continuing its rally amid market speculation.

    This cautious optimism reflects an attempt by investors to balance easing inflation and potential rate cuts with potential economic policy shifts under President-elect Donald Trump, who could introduce aggressive tax and trade policies that may stoke inflation in the coming year. With Republicans sweeping the recent elections, Trump now faces fewer restrictions on his policy moves, which could have substantial market implications.

    Amelie Derambure, a senior multi-asset portfolio manager at Amundi, noted, “There’s some selective optimism around Trump’s policies being growth-friendly and supportive of inflation, albeit not at extreme levels. Market pricing reflects a ‘soft Trump’ approach that emphasizes deregulation and economic stimulus.”

    Dollar Strength on the Rise, Weighing on Global Assets

    The dollar’s surge, which has pushed it up over 2% this month, is adding pressure across various asset classes. Gold prices have been pushed near two-month lows, while the yen has weakened to levels not seen since July. The euro also saw a 0.5% dip, marking its lowest point in over a year, as the dollar’s strength continues to overshadow other currencies, pushing MSCI’s emerging market currency index down for a fifth consecutive day.

    Some analysts are cautious about how long the rate cut momentum can continue, especially given Trump’s potential influence on future Fed policy. Analysts from Brown Brothers Harriman highlighted that Trump’s probable ability to drive his agenda could limit future rate cuts, recommending investors position themselves to capitalize on dollar strength.

    “The market’s pricing on the Fed has already adjusted to reflect this dollar strength, so investors should lean into it,” they advised.

    Market Outlook: Balancing Inflation Hopes and Economic Uncertainty

    With Jerome Powell’s speech anticipated by the markets, any hints about rate policy or inflationary pressures could influence the direction of equities, currencies, and commodities. The market currently reflects a cautious optimism, expecting policies that could stimulate economic growth without triggering runaway inflation.

    Bitcoin also remains steady near its recent highs, trading around $91,000 as investor interest in alternative assets continues amid the broader financial market’s focus on U.S. policy shifts and monetary dynamics.

    As markets await further clarity, the dollar’s robust position and potential for policy-driven growth highlight the tension between easing inflation expectations and a possibly assertive economic agenda under the new administration.

    Source : Swifteradio.com

  • Stocks Pause Rally as Investors Await Trump Cabinet Announcements: Market Analysis

    Stocks Pause Rally as Investors Await Trump Cabinet Announcements: Market Analysis

    Global stock markets took a breather Tuesday as valuations reached elevated levels, and investors awaited announcements on President-elect Donald Trump’s cabinet appointments. European markets were notably impacted, with the Stoxx Europe 600 index dropping 1.1%, erasing the previous day’s gains. In the U.S., S&P 500 futures slipped slightly following five days of gains, indicating that the post-election rally could be cooling.

    Despite the pause in equities, other “Trump trades” remained active. Treasury yields continued to rise, the U.S. dollar reached a one-year high, and Bitcoin hovered just under $90,000. The recent surge in equities, driven largely by expectations for Trump’s pro-business policies, has left valuations at a peak last seen three years ago, which raises concerns about sustainability. Analysts at Citigroup Inc. suggested that the current rally could lose momentum soon, as traders weigh the implications of Trump’s economic policies on inflation and Federal Reserve actions.

    Market experts are particularly focused on potential inflationary pressures stemming from Trump’s proposed trade tariffs and stricter immigration policies. “If tariffs are imposed, or if deportation measures are enacted, these could lead to inflationary pressures, pushing bond yields higher,” said Kevin Thozet, a member of the investment committee at Carmignac. He added that elevated bond yields could start to weigh on markets, especially given the high valuations of stocks.

    In Asia, market jitters over potential China policy decisions by the Trump administration drove Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index down by as much as 3.3% in earlier trading. Rumors that Senator Marco Rubio, known for his critical stance on China, could be named Secretary of State, alongside Representative Mike Waltz as National Security Advisor, have fueled concerns about U.S.-China relations. With both figures advocating strong measures against China, investors worry about potential economic repercussions for the Asia-Pacific region.

    Inflation data, due Wednesday, will also be a key focus as it could influence the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decisions. Economists expect the core Consumer Price Index (CPI), which excludes volatile food and energy prices, to rise at a similar pace to September’s figures. If inflation pressures intensify, the Fed may be inclined to shift its policy, which could add more volatility to markets in the coming months.

    In corporate news, Bayer AG saw its shares plunge to a 20-year low following a profit guidance cut. In contrast, premarket trading showed a rise for Live Nation Entertainment Inc., which gained 7% as concert revenue buoyed the company’s earnings. Grab Holdings Ltd. also rose, benefiting from improved forecasts in the ride-hailing sector.

    As the markets adjust to new political and economic expectations, investors are bracing for heightened uncertainty leading up to Trump’s inauguration in January.

    Source : Swifteradio.com

  • Dollar Dips as US Polls Shift Towards Kamala Harris: Market Movements and Key Economic Events

    Dollar Dips as US Polls Shift Towards Kamala Harris: Market Movements and Key Economic Events

    The US dollar weakened as investor sentiment shifted following new poll data indicating that Kamala Harris is gaining momentum in the presidential race. This market reaction is seen as a response to changing expectations around the upcoming election. Meanwhile, oil prices rose, spurred by OPEC+ delaying its planned production increase. These developments occurred in a backdrop of diverse economic signals and investor expectations around central bank policies, interest rates, and fiscal moves.

    Dollar Declines as Election Polls Show Harris Gaining Support

    The US dollar index fell significantly, marking its most substantial drop in over two months. This decline came as the Des Moines Register published a poll showing Harris leading Donald Trump with a 47% to 44% advantage in Iowa, a state Trump previously secured in both 2016 and 2020. Market participants reacted to the shifting poll data by adjusting their positions, signaling a reduced confidence in a Trump victory. The Mexican peso, a currency that faced sharp declines following Trump’s 2016 win, emerged as a top performer against the dollar amid the recent shifts.

    Political shifts have historically influenced the dollar’s strength, with Trump’s economic policies typically linked to higher Treasury yields and a stronger dollar due to his approach toward tariffs and fiscal policy. However, with poll results showing a close contest, investors are re-evaluating these factors, leading to fluctuations in the dollar’s value and in US Treasury yields.

    Treasury Yields and Investor Sentiment

    Over the past few weeks, the dollar gauge and 10-year Treasury yields had both climbed to their highest levels since July. Investors initially appeared optimistic about Trump’s re-election prospects, betting on his continued support for pro-growth fiscal policies. However, Trump’s policies have also sparked concerns over a potentially increasing federal deficit and rising inflation, factors that could weigh on the long-term value of Treasuries. Bill Maldonado, CEO of Eastspring Investments, emphasized the unpredictability surrounding policy implementation under Trump, making it difficult for investors to firmly establish market positions.

    Asian shares and Treasury futures posted gains amid these developments, as some investors re-evaluated their portfolios. European stock futures followed suit, inching up alongside US futures after Wall Street closed on a positive note last Friday, partly buoyed by strong earnings from technology giants like Amazon and Intel.

    Central Bank Decisions and Economic Indicators in Focus

    In addition to the US presidential race, key economic events this week include central bank rate decisions in the US, UK, and Australia, which will shape broader market trends. The Federal Reserve is anticipated to reduce rates by 25 basis points, following data indicating a slowdown in US hiring. Job growth advanced at its slowest pace since 2020, although this figure may have been influenced by recent hurricanes and a significant strike. Economists are similarly predicting a quarter-point rate cut from the Bank of England, bringing its benchmark rate to 4.75%.

    These decisions by major central banks reflect ongoing efforts to stabilize economies amid global uncertainties. With inflation and economic growth slowing, policymakers aim to balance support for economic activity while mitigating long-term risks.

    Oil and Gold Prices

    In the commodities market, oil prices rose, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gaining nearly 2%. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+) agreed to delay their scheduled December production hike by a month, a move intended to stabilize oil prices. Additionally, escalating tensions in the Middle East contributed to rising prices, as Iran issued warnings against Israel, further stirring geopolitical concerns.

    Gold, traditionally viewed as a safe haven, remained relatively stable amid these developments. The stability in gold prices reflects cautious optimism in the market, with investors balancing safe-haven assets against the more volatile equity markets and currency fluctuations.

    Source : Swifteradio.com

  • Wall St Week Ahead: Expected US Rate Cuts Have Investors Looking Beyond Big Tech

     

    NEW YORK, July 12 (Reuters) – Looming U.S. interest rate cuts are presenting investors with a tough choice: stick with the Big Tech stocks that have driven returns for more than a year, or turn to less-loved areas of the market that could benefit from easing monetary policy.

    Owning massive tech and growth companies such as Nvidia (NVDA.O), Microsoft (MSFT.O), and Amazon (AMZN.O) has been a hugely profitable strategy for investors since early 2023, even as the stocks’ market dominance has drawn comparisons to the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s.

    That calculus may start to change following Thursday’s surprisingly cool inflation report, which solidified expectations for a near-term rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Lower rates are seen as beneficial to many corners of the market whose performance has lagged this year, including small-caps, real estate, and economically sensitive areas such as industrials.

    Market action at the end of the week showed a nascent shift may have already begun. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (.NDX) suffered its biggest drop of the year on Thursday, while the small-cap Russell 2000 (.RUT) had its best day of 2024. The Nasdaq 100 has gained about 21% this year, while the Russell 2000 is up just 6%.

    Also on Thursday, the equal-weight S&P 500 (.SPXEW) – a proxy for the average stock in the benchmark index – had its biggest relative gain since 2020 over the S&P 500, which is more heavily influenced by the largest tech and growth stocks. That chipped away at the huge advantage for the S&P 500, which remains up about 18% in 2024 against a 6.7% gain for the equal-weight index.

    “The trade got too one-sided and we’re seeing some reversal of this,” said Walter Todd, chief investment officer at Greenwood Capital.

    Small caps and the equal-weight S&P 500 extended their gains on Friday even as tech stocks rebounded. Investors cautioned that the moves could be a snap-back after the disparity in performance between tech and other market sectors reached extremes. Further, recent periods of market broadening have been short-lived: for example, small caps surged at the end of 2023, when investors believed rate cuts were imminent, only to lag in the following months.

    Source: APNews

  • Asian Stock Markets Mixed Following Wall Street’s New Record Highs – The Associated Press

    Asian Stock Markets Mixed Following Wall Street’s New Record Highs – The Associated Press

    Currency traders pass by a screen displaying the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) and the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and South Korean won at the KEB Hana Bank headquarters’ foreign exchange dealing room in Seoul, South Korea, on Wednesday, June 19, 2024. (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon)

    Currency traders monitor screens near a display showing the KOSPI and the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and South Korean won at the KEB Hana Bank headquarters’ foreign exchange dealing room in Seoul, South Korea, on Wednesday, June 19, 2024. (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon)

    The New York Stock Exchange is seen on Tuesday, June 18, 2024, in New York. Shares mostly rose in Europe and Asia after U.S. stocks hit new records, driven by gains in technology companies. (AP Photo/Peter Morgan)

    Asian markets were mixed on Wednesday following U.S. benchmarks setting more records amid signs of a slowing U.S. economy that hasn’t yet fallen into recession. U.S. futures were mixed, and oil prices remained steady.

    In Tokyo, the Nikkei 225 index increased by 0.2% to 38,575.54, as Japan’s May trade data showed a 13.5% rise in exports and a 9.5% increase in imports compared to the previous year, driven by higher prices and a weaker yen. Minutes from the Bank of Japan’s latest policy meeting revealed discussions about whether the yen’s weakness could drive inflation higher, with Governor Kazuo Ueda hinting at a potential rate hike depending on economic data.

    The Hang Seng in Hong Kong rose 2% to 18,264.51, while the Shanghai Composite index fell 0.3% to 3,020.03 after China’s securities regulator announced plans to enhance oversight of financial activities to mitigate risks. In Sydney, the S&P/ASX 200 dipped 0.2% to 7,764.30. South Korea’s Kospi surged 1% to 2,792.14. Taiwan’s Taiex climbed 1.8%, while Bangkok’s SET decreased by 0.1%.

    On Tuesday, the S&P 500 gained 0.3% to 5,487.03, marking its 31st record high this year. The Nasdaq composite rose by less than 0.1% to 17,862.23, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.2% to 38,834.86.

    Nvidia continued to be a standout performer, with its shares rising 3.5%, contributing significantly to the S&P 500’s gains. Nvidia’s chips are key in AI development, with demand skyrocketing, leading to tripling revenues each quarter and soaring profits. Its stock has surged nearly 174% this year, accounting for almost a third of the S&P 500’s gains through May. However, the heavy reliance on a few top performers could indicate a fragile market.

    Retail sales in May rose by 0.1%, below expectations, with April sales revised downward by 0.2%. March and February saw rises of 0.6% and 0.9%, respectively, while January sales fell by 1.1% due to adverse weather. The weaker data might suggest cracks in household spending, the main driver of the U.S. economy, as inflation remains high, particularly affecting lower-income households.

    Despite this, a Bank of America survey showed global fund managers’ optimism at its highest since autumn 2021, with significant stock allocations and less cash hoarding, and fewer predictions of a severe recession.

    In early Wednesday trading, U.S. benchmark crude oil remained steady at $80.71 per barrel, while Brent crude rose slightly to $85.35 per barrel. The dollar strengthened to 157.87 Japanese yen from 156.87 yen, and the euro slightly declined to $1.0737 from $1.0740.

    AP Business Writer Stan Choe contributed to this report.

    source: apnews.com