Harris Leads Trump in Multiple Polls as Race Tightens Ahead of 2024
Vice President Kamala Harris holds a narrow lead over former President Donald Trump in several recent national polls, signaling a close race as the 2024 election approaches. According to a four-day Reuters/Ipsos poll concluded on Monday, Harris is ahead with 46% of the vote compared to Trump’s 43%. This reflects a tightening race, as Harris led Trump by six points in a similar poll conducted from September 20-23.
In another survey released Tuesday by The New York Times/Siena College, Harris leads 49% to 46%, marking the first time she has surpassed Trump in their polling since July. Morning Consult’s latest weekly poll also showed Harris with a consistent five-point advantage over Trump, echoing last week’s results.
Recent polling trends suggest Harris is maintaining momentum. She was ahead in three surveys released last week: leading Trump 50% to 48% in an Emerson poll, 49% to 44% in a Susquehanna poll, and holding a three-point edge in an Economist/YouGov poll. These results closely mirror previous findings from late September.
Over the past month, some polls have shown a tighter race. A Quinnipiac survey, along with a New York Times/Siena poll and a CNN/SSRS poll, indicated a tie between the two candidates. However, Harris continues to hold a slim but consistent lead in the majority of national polls.
Harris Narrows Trump’s Lead Since July
Since announcing her candidacy on July 21, Harris has managed to erase Trump’s lead over President Joe Biden, according to FiveThirtyEight’s weighted polling average. While her lead peaked at 3.7 points in late August, it has slightly decreased over the past two months, reflecting a highly competitive race.
A poll from NBC News, conducted from September 16-23, revealed that Harris still leads Trump among Latino voters, though the margin is shrinking. The NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC poll showed 54% of Latino voters support Harris, compared to 40% for Trump, with 6% undecided. While Harris’ support among Latinos is higher than Biden’s during the 2020 election, it still falls short of the overwhelming margins Democrats have historically held with this demographic.
Impact of the Debate on Polling
Harris’ post-debate performance appears to have stabilized her polling numbers. Surveys conducted before and after the debate indicate that while a majority of respondents believe Harris won, the overall race between her and Trump remains largely unchanged. A New York Times/Siena poll released on September 19 found that 67% of voters felt Harris performed well in the debate, compared to just 40% for Trump. An ABC News/Ipsos poll taken shortly after the debate showed Harris leading 52% to 46% among likely voters, consistent with her pre-debate standing.
Tightening Race in Key Battlegrounds
In key battleground states, Harris is also making gains. Notably, she has significantly narrowed Trump’s lead in Iowa from 18 points in June to just four points in a Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll conducted in early September. The poll was led by well-regarded pollster Ann Selzer, known for her accuracy in predicting election outcomes.
With several months left before the 2024 election, Harris maintains a slim but steady lead over Trump in national polls, positioning the race as a highly competitive contest as voters head into the final stretch.
Source: Swifteradio.com
