The National Weather Service, under the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), has issued its first forecast for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, predicting a 60% chance of an above-normal season. There is a 30% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.
NOAA expects between 13 and 19 named storms, with 6 to 10 becoming hurricanes, and 3 to 5 reaching major hurricane status—categories three to five with sustained winds of 178 km/h or higher.
The forecast highlights several factors contributing to an active season: a neutral phase in the southern Pacific that favors storm formation by providing a conducive wind environment; warmer-than-average ocean temperatures in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and Gulf of Mexico; and a more active West African Monsoon, which increases thunderstorm activity that can develop into tropical storms.
This outlook aligns with an earlier forecast from Colorado State University, a key authority in hurricane research. Atlantic Canada remains vulnerable to hurricane impacts, underscoring the importance of preparedness and planning for the season ahead.
Source: Swifteradio.com